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On this day — March 15, 2022

Tuesday — a normal trading day. Tuesday is also when the CFTC publishes Commitments of Traders data for the prior week, often producing intraday movement.

Day 74 of 365 · Q1 2022 · 20.3% through the year

March 2022 gold market: Near-record spike, then the first Fed hike

Volatile

A near-record war spike met the start of Fed tightening.

Gold briefly touched about $2,070 on March 8 — within a whisker of its record — as the Ukraine war and commodity shock peaked. It then reversed as the Federal Reserve delivered its first rate hike on March 16, closing the month near $1,940.

What drove gold in March 2022

  • war and commodity-price peak
  • first Fed rate hike (Mar 16, +25bp)
  • extreme volatility
  • real yields beginning to climb
Themes#geopolitics#Fed policy#near-record high

Key events in March 2022

  1. Mar 8Gold spikes to ~$2,070, near its all-time high
  2. Mar 16Fed hikes rates for the first time since 2018

What happened next

The hiking cycle that began here would pressure gold for the next six months.

For gold buyers

The March 8 near-record proved a trap; the Fed's tightening campaign that began days later would pressure gold for most of the year.

Mar 15 across the years — 20202021

+9.4% over 1 years
20202021
YearMar 15 closevs prior
Mar 15, 2021$1,723.70+9.41%View
Mar 15, 2020$1,575.45View
Each row is the verified XAU/USD spot close for Mar 15 of that year. Click any row to open the full daily archive (with country tables for Mar 15, 2020+).