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On this day — February 10, 2023

Chinese New Year: Chinese gold demand surges in the lead-up to Lunar New Year as families exchange gold pendants, rings and bars. Year-on-year, China's January–February gold imports run 30–50 percent above other months.

Friday — typically a higher-volatility close to the week. US monthly non-farm payrolls publish on the first Friday of each month at 8:30 AM ET, the single most-watched economic data release for gold.

Day 41 of 365 · Q1 2023 · 11.2% through the year

February 2023 gold market: Hot data revives Fed hawkishness

Bearish

Hot US data pushed rate-hike bets and the dollar back up.

Gold pulled back to around $1,810–$1,830 in February after unexpectedly strong US jobs and inflation data revived expectations of more Fed rate hikes, lifting the dollar and Treasury yields.

What drove gold in February 2023

  • blockbuster US jobs report
  • sticky inflation data
  • rebounding dollar and yields
  • repricing of the Fed path
Themes#Fed policy#US data strength#rising yields

Key events in February 2023

  1. Feb 24Gold slips toward $1,810 as yields and the dollar rise

What happened next

The pullback ended abruptly in March when a banking crisis erupted.

For gold buyers

February was a reminder that the road to a Fed pause would be bumpy, with each hot data print a setback for gold.