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On this day — March 14, 2020

Saturday — the international gold market is closed. Most retail jewellery markets, especially in Asia and the Middle East, see peak Saturday foot-traffic and physical trade activity.

Day 74 of 366 · Q1 2020 · 20.2% through the year

March 2020 gold market: Liquidity crash, then a historic policy rescue

Volatile

A liquidation low and a record policy-driven reversal in one month.

March was a tale of two halves. As COVID lockdowns hit, a desperate dash for cash drove gold down to roughly $1,470 by mid-month even as stocks crashed. Then the Federal Reserve cut rates to zero and announced unlimited quantitative easing, and gold reversed sharply to close near $1,575. The episode defined the rest of gold's year.

The mid-March plunge confused many newcomers: how could gold fall while the world was ending? The answer is plumbing. In a true liquidity crisis, leveraged investors must sell their most liquid, profitable holdings to meet margin calls, and gold is among the easiest assets to sell. Once the Federal Reserve removed the cash shortage on March 23 with a pledge of unlimited bond-buying, the artificial selling pressure vanished and gold's fundamentals — collapsing real yields and exploding money supply — took over. The V-shaped recovery from $1,470 set the template for a historic run.

What drove gold in March 2020

  • COVID liquidity crisis & margin calls
  • Fed cuts to zero (Mar 15)
  • unlimited QE announced (Mar 23)
  • unprecedented fiscal stimulus
Themes#COVID-19#Fed policy#quantitative easing#liquidity

Key events in March 2020

  1. Mar 11WHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic
  2. Mar 15Fed slashes rates to 0–0.25% and restarts QE
  3. Mar 23Fed pledges unlimited asset purchases; gold bottoms and turns up

What happened next

The Fed's unlimited-QE backstop launched gold on a five-month surge to its August all-time high.

For gold buyers

The mid-March low near $1,470 proved the best buying opportunity of the year — but only for those who understood the dip was a liquidity event, not a verdict on gold.

Key terms this month

Quantitative easing (QE):
A central bank creating money to buy bonds, lowering yields and increasing the money supply — historically supportive for gold.
Dash for cash:
A crisis scramble in which investors sell almost everything, even safe assets, to raise US dollars.