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On this day — September 25, 2024

Wednesday — a normal trading day. FOMC announcements (when scheduled) typically come on Wednesdays at 2 PM ET, often producing intraday gold volatility.

Day 269 of 366 · Q3 2024 · 73.5% through the year

September 2024 gold market: Fed's jumbo cut supercharges gold

Bullish

An outsized Fed cut sent gold sprinting past $2,600.

The Federal Reserve began its easing cycle with an outsized 0.50-point cut on September 18, and gold surged past $2,600. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, and the market wasted no time pricing in more cuts to come.

The September cut mattered less for its size than for what it confirmed: the rate-cut thesis that had powered gold all year was now real, not just anticipated. Falling policy rates lower the 'opportunity cost' of holding gold — the yield an investor gives up by owning metal instead of bonds. With the Fed now easing into a still-resilient economy, gold's two biggest tailwinds, falling real yields and a softer dollar, were reinforcing each other.

What drove gold in September 2024

  • Fed begins easing with a 50bp cut (Sep 18)
  • falling real yields
  • weaker dollar
  • momentum and ETF inflows returning
Themes#Fed policy#rate cuts#opportunity cost

Key events in September 2024

  1. Sep 18Fed cuts rates 50bp; gold pushes past $2,600

What happened next

Gold extended to records above $2,700 in October before the US election.

For gold buyers

September's jumbo cut validated the rate-cut thesis that had driven gold all year — the easing cycle had finally begun.

Key terms this month

Opportunity cost:
The return given up by choosing one asset over another. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

Sep 25 across the years — 20202022

-11.3% over 2 years
20202022
YearSep 25 closevs prior
Sep 25, 2022$1,649.84-5.55%View
Sep 25, 2021$1,746.80-6.07%View
Sep 25, 2020$1,859.70View
Each row is the verified XAU/USD spot close for Sep 25 of that year. Click any row to open the full daily archive (with country tables for Sep 25, 2020+).